The Dummy Value Investing Metric
The Matrix
| Ticker | Company | 10Y Avg FCF | FCF Yield | ROE | Margin Stability | Valuation Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSCO | Cisco Systems | $12.1B | 6.5% | 27.2% | Medium | Attractive |
| TXN | Texas Instruments | $6.8B | 4.8% | 42.5% | High | Attractive |
| MSFT | Microsoft | $49.2B | 3.4% | 34.6% | High | Watchlist |
| V | Visa | $15.4B | 3.1% | 43.0% | High | Watchlist |
Methodology
The model is designed for investors who value process consistency over quarter-to-quarter noise and short-term narratives.
- Annual free cash flow is operating cash flow minus capital expenditures.
- We focus on 10-year averages to reduce one-year noise and cycle distortions.
- Valuation signals are produced from normalized yield and long-term return hurdles.
Discipline first
No hype
Long-term normalized numbers
Explainable filters
Every output should stay auditable: you can inspect the filters, the assumptions, and the metric history before adding a name to your watchlist.